Senators question a discrepancy between Treasury and Department forecasts regarding future diesel consumption, with one projecting an increase and the other a decline by 2030.
Speakers: Steph Hodgins-May, Andrew Hutchinson, Hon Tim Ayres, Unknown Speaker, Mr Andrew Hutchinson
Fuel exciseEmissions reductionSteph Hodgins-MayAndrew HutchinsonHon Tim AyresUnknown SpeakerMr Andrew HutchinsonSenate Environment and Communications Legislation CommitteeSupplementary Budget Estimates 2026–27Senate Environment and Communications Legislation Committee, 26 Oct 202611006
Transcript
Steph Hodgins-May
Um we've submitted two questions onnotice, one to Treasury and one um toyour department minister on f on dieseluse forecasts. Based on your 2025emissions projections report, you saythat diesel use will decline by 1.5billion L by 2030. Um however, based onfuel excise in the budget papers,Treasury confirmed that we'll be burning2.4 billion L more in 2030. Um so onedepartment saying diesel um exposurewill be increasing while another says itwill be decreasing. Can you pleaseprovide some clarity?
Hon Tim Ayres
>> Not sure I'm in a position to providemuch clarity. If uh if uh there's anyinformation that comes to me um in thenext few moments I'll do that. Uh butotherwise if there's an official who'sin a position to provide an answer I'mvery very happy for them to do that.
Mr Andrew Hutchinson
Good afternoon, Senator AndrewHutchinson, uh, division head ofemissions reactions division. I'm sosorry, but I'm going to have to ask you,could you please repeat that question aswe were just coming up to the table anddidn't come?
Steph Hodgins-May
>> Yeah. So um we submitted two questionson notice, one to treasure treasury, oneto the department on diesel useforecasts. And based on um 2025emissions project report, um thedepartment says that diesel use willdecline by 1.5 billion liters by 2030.Um however, based on the fuel excise inthe budget papers, Treasury confirmedthat we'll be burning 2 2.4 billion Lmore in 2030. Um, so one one departmentsaying diesel exposure will beincreasing while the other says it willbe decreasing and I just curious to knowwhich one is correct.
Mr Andrew Hutchinson
>> Thank you, Senator. I am not familiarwith that exact question on notice. Idon't think I have it in my pack, but umI would say that our our current currentbest estimate of diesel consumption intothe future is indeed in the 2025emissions projections that you've cited.uh and that our next um more updatedassessment of that will be in the 2026emissions projections which are due tobe tabled by the end of this year. Umapologies because it's taking on noticelook at that.
Steph Hodgins-May
>> We can bring the questions on notice andperhaps return to this in later in thesession.>> Um all right. So I'll save that thatquestion block until you've umfamiliarized yourself.