Examination of the proposed 110% oversupply requirement in the gas reservation policy and whether the domestic market has the capacity to absorb additional supply.
Speakers: Paula Svarcas, Senator Susan McDonald, Speaker 20, Unknown Speaker
Energy pricesFossil fuelsPaula SvarcasSenator Susan McDonaldSpeaker 20Unknown SpeakerSenate Economics Legislation Committee [Part 2]Supplementary Budget Estimates 2026–27Senate Economics Legislation Committee [Part 2], 29 Oct 202610901
Transcript
Senator Susan McDonald
together at the moment>> discussing gas reservation policy
Speaker 20
>> on tomorrow.>> Tomorrow
Senator Susan McDonald
>> and all day. Well, a chunk of tomorrow.Chunk of tomorrow. Yeah.
Speaker 20
>> I was more saying that to finish earlytonight.
Senator Susan McDonald
>> Hey,
Speaker 20
>> I was more saying that just to remindyou to finish early tonight.
Senator Susan McDonald
>> Oh, thank you.Oh, what be the fun in that? We can doit again tomorrow. You're not heretomorrow, though, are you, Minister? No.Oh, see, that's why I've got to do it isso that you're here for it. I'd hate youUm, good evening. I want to ask you, gasmarket demand is finite, cannot bephysically overs supplied. So, this 10%over supply that's proposed in thelegislation,how can it deliver a physical oversupply of the market? You know, once
Paula Svarcas
Senator Paulus, head of division and umgas reservation task force.the over supply is designed to be ableto meet the domestic demand which as youfluctuates depending on the needs of thesector and when it's when gas isrequired.So the and the um 110% is is the averagefigure over the year.So we believe that with the currentstorage capacity and the uptake thatindustry is asking for of the of gasthat there is capacity in the system toabsorb the 110%. And if there's not>> and in usage and also senatorimportantly what the um the draftlegislative package provides for is umis if if the market cannot absorb the110%um requirement of the domestic supplyobligation that there is um there isonly an obligation to supply 90% and 10%of that is um is a flexible amount. sothat there can there is flex in thesystem in order to be able for umproducers to be able to meet their DSO
Senator Susan McDonald
It's a bit of a punt though, isn't it?It's a big punt if we get this wrong anduh and we try and uh legislatively forceuh supply into a market that is alreadyum the the theimpact on particularly domesticproducers in the southern markets couldbe catastrophic for their investmentdecisions.
Paula Svarcas
>> So there two ways in which um the marketis calibrated. So there is that um whatI'm going to call banking and borrowingprovisions the um 9010 provision in thelegislative package so that if themarket cannot absorb the full um thefull amount of the domestic supplyationlike I said that that some amounts canbe deferred for future yearsum and there's also on an annual basisthe regulator will be doing a demandcalibration to the 110% so the whole andthat will include taking into intoaccount any um banked or borrowedamounts from past years. So there is aleveling measure um attached to the gasreservation package to be able toprovide for the needs of the marketsgoing forward taking into accountbanking and borrowing and the um and thedomestic demand.
Senator Susan McDonald
The Graten Institute provided evidenceat the gas market uh the gas reservationinquiry last Friday that 102% would be amuch more appropriate percentage to seekto over supply the market. Um whatanalysis have you done that would allowyou to be confident that 110% isactually the right number?