Discussion on how the gas reservation framework and downward price pressure affect smaller domestic-focused producers and their future investment decisions.
Speakers: Robert Jeremenko, Senator Susan McDonald, Paula Svarcas, Unknown Speaker
Energy pricesManufacturingRobert JeremenkoSenator Susan McDonaldPaula SvarcasUnknown SpeakerSenate Economics Legislation Committee [Part 2]Supplementary Budget Estimates 2026–27Senate Economics Legislation Committee [Part 2], 29 Oct 202611149
Transcript
Robert Jeremenko
>> Thanks S. I'll jump in. Robert Jeremyo,Deputy Secretary Resources and Strategy.Uh so we have um had an extensive umamount of analysis and also modelingum and we have commissioned uh AsilAllen over the period that thedepartments have been working on thisfor the government uh as part of thatand that has uh very much informed theum policy design including the 110%.
Senator Susan McDonald
What analysis has the department done onhow the over supply will impact smallerdomestic focused producers particularlyon their them making investment
Robert Jeremenko
decisions. So that that has uhdefinitely been one of the uh key policyaspects that we have been focused on tomake sure that the um the slight oversupply into the market. I take yourpoint uh with your opening question butthe 110%um is is balanced through as Miss Varcusuh pointed out the advice of the expertregulator and the AER uh over time tomake sure that we get that balancecorrect such that it does provide thatdownward pressure on prices um ensuresof course the supply of gas domesticallybut does so in a way that um that doesnot cruel the chances of of um domesticproducers and I mean you know thoseproducers who aren't currently exportinguh to continue to produce. So it's it isa very fine balance. Um the analysiswe've undertaken has considered uh thatas well and so uh the design of thispolicy is certainly not uh blind to uhall of those uh considerations.
Senator Susan McDonald
What measures, if any, are in theframework to ensure that the over supplyprovision does not simply displace gasthat domestic focus producers are tryingto sell into the domestic market.
Robert Jeremenko
Well, there is a a concept of umadditionality uh in the uh in the billsand that is particularly uh to ensurethat um there there cannot in effect beum the cycling of of gas that wouldotherwise be put into the domesticmarket to um be used to satisfy adomestic supply obligation. So uheffectively um uh the gas that is putinto the system uh by the domestic um bythe gas reservation um scheme uh needsto be in addition to what um theregulator determines is the baseline ofdomestic production.
Senator Susan McDonald
So if for example APLNGputs 120 pedigles of gas into the marketdomestic market each year and theirrequirement will obviously not beanywhere near that amount.They now don't have an opportunity tosell the excess of their domestic gasrequirement to another exporter to allowthem to use that for domestic supply ascurrently happens because that wouldoffend the additionality provisions.
Robert Jeremenko
>> Not sure that's correct.
Senator Susan McDonald
>> Well, explain to me how that's notcorrect.
Robert Jeremenko
>> Well, I'm I'm turning to my expertSenator so that we get you the right
Paula Svarcas
>> Senator. The bill um the bills doprovide for exporters to be able to doswaps as they do as they do now. So,that is that is part of the normalmarket behavior and it does not excludethe ability for exporters to do swaps umlike just like they do now. That'sthat'snot not correct.